Christopher Allen

With the advent of clawdbots, it's as if we've all lost our inhibitions and "put our lives completely in their hands."

I'm all for delegating work, but not giving them too much personal/sensitive stuff to handle.

I came across Deutsche Bank s latest report on AI, and it sparked an interesting thought experiment: how likely is it that we ll see AGI (AI that thinks and learns like a human) within the next five years?

The report highlights a fascinating divergence: the view from money vs. the view from science.

• Money: the probability inferred from trillions poured into data centers, Nvidia chips, and servers. Investors seem to be betting that AGI is inevitable.

• Science: the probability inferred from research papers and AI development models. Experts are far more cautious, suggesting the realistic probability is only 20%.

Since I haven't been able to meet my work goals very well in the last few quarters, I now plan to approach them more systematically and not push myself too hard on work goals, as that ultimately led to problems that made my plan less sustainable.

So here is my structure and list: